What is the probability for "Will Scott Alexander review Tim Urban's (Wait But Why) book 'What's Our Problem' on Astral Codex Ten in 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 10 traders and $1K in volume.

Will Scott Alexander review Tim Urban's (Wait But Why) book 'What's Our Problem' on Astral Codex Ten in 2023?

Resolution