What is the probability for "Will SARS-CoV-2 variant BA.2.86 be declared a “variant of high consequence” by the CDC by October 1, 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 4% with 5 traders and $473 in volume.

Will SARS-CoV-2 variant BA.2.86 be declared a “variant of high consequence” by the CDC by October 1, 2023?