What is the probability for "IF Sam Bankman-Fried attends the New York Times Event with Andrew Ross Sorkin in-person, will he be arrested on the same day?" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 25% with 16 traders and $423 in volume.

IF Sam Bankman-Fried attends the New York Times Event with Andrew Ross Sorkin in-person, will he be arrested on the same day?

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