What is the probability for "Will Russia have made territorial gains in the war against Ukraine at 23:59 CET on 01 July 23 compared to now?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 16% with 13 traders and $421 in volume.

Will Russia have made territorial gains in the war against Ukraine at 23:59 CET on 01 July 23 compared to now?

Resolution