What is the probability for "Will QX flight 2020 from Seattle to Spokane on 2023-10-03 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will QX flight 2020 from Seattle to Spokane on 2023-10-03 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 90% with 13 traders and $720 in volume.

Will QX flight 2020 from Seattle to Spokane on 2023-10-03 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution