What is the probability for "Will powerful (magnitude 8.0 or more) earthquake hit city of Almaty (this is a city in Kazakhstan) before end of 2025?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 26 traders and $16K in volume.

Will powerful (magnitude 8.0 or more) earthquake hit city of Almaty (this is a city in Kazakhstan) before end of 2025?

Resolution