What is the probability for "Will PDT flight 5808 from Evansville to Charlotte on 2023-09-24 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will PDT flight 5808 from Evansville to Charlotte on 2023-09-24 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 84% with 4 traders and $13 in volume.

Will PDT flight 5808 from Evansville to Charlotte on 2023-09-24 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution