What is the probability for "Will Outpost Polaris survive? (Resolves YES if final probability is 50%)" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Outpost Polaris survive? (Resolves YES if final probability is >50%)" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 56% with 3 traders and $136 in volume.

Will Outpost Polaris survive? (Resolves YES if final probability is >50%)