What is the probability for "Will OO flight 5440 from Denver to Edmonton on 2023-09-18 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will OO flight 5440 from Denver to Edmonton on 2023-09-18 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 90% with 5 traders and $117 in volume.

Will OO flight 5440 from Denver to Edmonton on 2023-09-18 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution