What is the probability for "Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov achieve an official rating of 2800 at any point in 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov achieve an official rating of >2800 at any point in 2023?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 8 traders and $2K in volume.

Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov achieve an official rating of >2800 at any point in 2023?