What is the probability for "Will Nikki Haley overtake and lead Ron DeSantis on 538's Republican Primary page at end of Groundhog Day 2024? (Feb 2)" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 100% with 95 traders and $58K in volume.

Will Nikki Haley overtake and lead Ron DeSantis on 538's Republican Primary page at end of Groundhog Day 2024? (Feb 2)

Resolution