What is the probability for "Will NH flight 381 from Tokyo to Yonago on 2023-09-15 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will NH flight 381 from Tokyo to Yonago on 2023-09-15 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 91% with 5 traders and $23 in volume.

Will NH flight 381 from Tokyo to Yonago on 2023-09-15 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?