Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance Pricing

Log in Get Access

Accrue
/Home
/Manifold Markets
/Will Nassim Nicholas Taleb have a bicycle accident by the end of 2023

ManifoldResolved: NOBINARY · cpmm-1

Will Nassim Nicholas Taleb have a bicycle accident by the end of 2023

Yes5%

Yes Pool

$692

No Pool

$166

Resolution

NO

Probability

5%

Volume$671

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$230

Traders12

CreatorMiguel Farraj

ClosesDec 31, 2023

View on Manifold →Compare Across Platforms →

Accrue© 2026

Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance

The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets

Terms Privacy Risk Disclosure Cookies Disclaimer Acceptable Use