What is the probability for "Will my reddit post "Manifold Tips and Tricks" get 20 karma?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will my reddit post "Manifold Tips and Tricks" get > 20 karma?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 8% with 14 traders and $7K in volume.

Will my reddit post "Manifold Tips and Tricks" get > 20 karma?