What is the probability for "Will more than 10 people be killed in a shooting by a single civillian shooter in the US before the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 95% with 21 traders and $5K in volume.

Will more than 10 people be killed in a shooting by a single civillian shooter in the US before the end of 2023?

Resolution