What is the probability for "Will Meta release a Llama 3 405B multi-modal open source before the end of 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Meta release a Llama 3 405B multi-modal open source before the  end of 2024?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 5% with 15 traders and $6K in volume.

Will Meta release a Llama 3 405B multi-modal open source before the end of 2024?