Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance Pricing

Log in Get Access

Accrue
/Home
/Manifold Markets
/Will Max Clarke believe with ≥95% confidence that there exists AGI by Jul 2025?

ManifoldResolved: CANCELBINARY · cpmm-1

Will Max Clarke believe with ≥95% confidence that there exists AGI by Jul 2025?

Yes22%

Yes Pool

$190

No Pool

$53

Resolution

CANCEL

Probability

22%

Volume$92

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$100

Traders1

CreatorLorenzo🔸

ClosesAug 16, 2022

View on Manifold →Compare Across Platforms →

Accrue© 2026

Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance

The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets

Terms Privacy Risk Disclosure Cookies Disclaimer Acceptable Use