What is the probability for "Will @MarcusAbramovich honour his "going to be spending a lot less time on Manifold going forward" in September?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will @MarcusAbramovich honour his  "going to be spending a lot less time on Manifold going forward" in September?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 16 traders and $2K in volume.

Will @MarcusAbramovich honour his "going to be spending a lot less time on Manifold going forward" in September?

Resolution