What is the probability for "Will "Manifold: If okay AGI, why?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will "Manifold:  If okay AGI, why?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 13% with 1 traders and $8 in volume.

Will "Manifold: If okay AGI, why?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?