What is the probability for "Will Manifold end the last week of December with 1500 avg DAU" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Manifold end the last week of December with >1500 avg DAU" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 7% with 14 traders and $1K in volume.

Will Manifold end the last week of December with >1500 avg DAU