What is the probability for "Will Magnus Carlsen achieve higher than 3360 blitz rating in chess.com in 2024?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Magnus Carlsen achieve higher than 3360	blitz rating in chess.com in 2024?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 97% with 9 traders and $1K in volume.

Will Magnus Carlsen achieve higher than 3360 blitz rating in chess.com in 2024?