What is the probability for "Will LX flight 1111 from Munich to Zurich on 2023-08-18 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will LX flight 1111 from Munich to Zurich on 2023-08-18 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 68% with 9 traders and $203 in volume.

Will LX flight 1111 from Munich to Zurich on 2023-08-18 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution