What is the probability for "Will Meta release the 405B weights in any form from 12:01 AM AM PDT and Midnight 12:00 PDT on July 23rd 2024" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will  Meta release the  405B weights in any form from 12:01 AM AM PDT and Midnight 12:00 PDT on July 23rd 2024" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 21 traders and $112K in volume.

Will Meta release the 405B weights in any form from 12:01 AM AM PDT and Midnight 12:00 PDT on July 23rd 2024

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