What is the probability for "Will LH flight 412 from Munich to Newark on 2023-09-04 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will LH flight 412 from Munich to Newark on 2023-09-04 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 86% with 9 traders and $266 in volume.

Will LH flight 412 from Munich to Newark on 2023-09-04 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?