What is the probability for "Will Joshua lose one of his current 10k mana position before 2025?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Joshua lose one of his current >10k mana position before 2025?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 10% with 13 traders and $654 in volume.

Will Joshua lose one of his current >10k mana position before 2025?