What is the probability for "Will Japan's JAXA SLIM moon lander "Moon Sniper" successfully land within 100 meters of its target on the lunar surface?" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 53% with 55 traders and $2K in volume.

Will Japan's JAXA SLIM moon lander "Moon Sniper" successfully land within 100 meters of its target on the lunar surface?

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