What is the probability for "Will James W. Head III still be a non-retired non-emeritus professor at Brown University when he reaches 80 years old?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 58% with 3 traders and $22 in volume.

Will James W. Head III still be a non-retired non-emeritus professor at Brown University when he reaches 80 years old?

Resolution