What is the probability for "Will it cost less than 100k USD to train and run a language model that outperforms GPT-3 175B on all benchmarks by the end 2024?" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 85% with 54 traders and $6K in volume.

Will it cost less than 100k USD to train and run a language model that outperforms GPT-3 175B on all benchmarks by the end 2024?

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