What is the probability for "Will it be shown with 85% chance that Adelie penguins are the smartest extant penguin species?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will it be shown with >85% chance that Adelie penguins are the smartest extant penguin species?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 50% with 0 traders and $0 in volume.

Will it be shown with >85% chance that Adelie penguins are the smartest extant penguin species?