What is the probability for "Will it be discovered that China is using unmanned underwater vehicles to conduct surveillance of US military facilities and activities inside US waters by the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 1% with 27 traders and $6K in volume.

Will it be discovered that China is using unmanned underwater vehicles to conduct surveillance of US military facilities and activities inside US waters by the end of 2023?

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