What is the probability for "Will it be confirmed that Eliezer Yudkowsky is involved with the Qualy the Lightbulb account if I guess so?" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 8% with 40 traders and $5K in volume.

Will it be confirmed that Eliezer Yudkowsky is involved with the Qualy the Lightbulb account if I guess so?

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