What is the probability for "Will I get banned for using my newly created $100 Claude Max subscription on ClawdBot by February 15th?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will I get banned for using my newly created  $100 Claude Max subscription on ClawdBot by February 15th?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 3% with 121 traders and $77K in volume.

Will I get banned for using my newly created $100 Claude Max subscription on ClawdBot by February 15th?