What is the probability for "Will I encounter someone who has been using Manifold markets 1 month, on my EAG London trip?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will I encounter someone who has been using Manifold markets >1 month, on my EAG London trip?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 11 traders and $3K in volume.

Will I encounter someone who has been using Manifold markets >1 month, on my EAG London trip?