What is the probability for "Will I be productive each day? (personal credence = ~20%, track record = 4.5/15, please bet against me to motivate me)" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is — with 12 traders and $893 in volume.

Will I be productive each day? (personal credence = ~20%, track record = 4.5/15, please bet against me to motivate me)

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