What is the probability for "Will I be convinced that the Manifold user @LexFridman is the public figure and podcast host by end of 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 20 traders and $5K in volume.

Will I be convinced that the Manifold user @LexFridman is the public figure and podcast host by end of 2023?

Resolution