What is the probability for "Will GPT-4 be unreliable at reasoning about the physical, psychological, and mathematical world? (Gary Marcus GPT-4 prediction #2)" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 91% with 49 traders and $3K in volume.

Will GPT-4 be unreliable at reasoning about the physical, psychological, and mathematical world? (Gary Marcus GPT-4 prediction #2)

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