What is the probability for "Will global average temperatures in 2100 increase by at least 2.7°C (IPCC SSP2-4.5) when compared to the average climate of 1850-1900?" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 65% with 2 traders and $162 in volume.

Will global average temperatures in 2100 increase by at least 2.7°C (IPCC SSP2-4.5) when compared to the average climate of 1850-1900?

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