What is the probability for "Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2025?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 25% with 3 traders and $112 in volume.

Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2025?

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