What is the probability for "Will "Getting 50% (SoTA) on ARC-AGI with GPT-4o" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 6% with 5 traders and $1K in volume.

Will "Getting 50% (SoTA) on ARC-AGI with GPT-4o" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Resolution