What is the probability for "Will Gary Marcus tweet at least 10 examples of GPT-4 failure which won't be disproven/fixed within 24 hours? (in 2023)" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 16% with 12 traders and $399 in volume.

Will Gary Marcus tweet at least 10 examples of GPT-4 failure which won't be disproven/fixed within 24 hours? (in 2023)

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