What is the probability for "Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show 1.25x OR

Q: What is the probability for "Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?" on Manifold?

The current market probability is 55% with 2 traders and $105 in volume.

Question

What is the probability for "Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 55% with 2 traders and $105 in volume.