What is the probability for "Will FR flight 5225 from Shannon to Liverpool on 2023-10-05 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will FR flight 5225 from Shannon to Liverpool on 2023-10-05 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 100% with 9 traders and $3K in volume.

Will FR flight 5225 from Shannon to Liverpool on 2023-10-05 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution