What is the probability for "Will FR flight 2042 from Brussels to Pula on 2023-09-14 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will FR flight 2042 from Brussels to Pula on 2023-09-14 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 94% with 9 traders and $615 in volume.

Will FR flight 2042 from Brussels to Pula on 2023-09-14 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution