What is the probability for "Will FR flight 1301 from Lisbon to Brussels on 2023-09-14 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will FR flight 1301 from Lisbon to Brussels on 2023-09-14 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 86% with 8 traders and $472 in volume.

Will FR flight 1301 from Lisbon to Brussels on 2023-09-14 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution