What is the probability for "Will Elon Musk physically fight Mark Zuckerberg before LK-99 is confirmed to be a room-temperature superconductor?" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 83% with 33 traders and $2K in volume.

Will Elon Musk physically fight Mark Zuckerberg before LK-99 is confirmed to be a room-temperature superconductor?

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