Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance Pricing

Log in Get Access

Accrue
/Home
/Manifold Markets
/Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?

ManifoldActiveBINARY · cpmm-1

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?

Yes7%

Yes Pool

$1K

No Pool

$957

Probability

7%

Volume$4K

24h Volume$0

Liquidity$1K

Traders40

CreatorElspeth

ClosesDec 31, 2099

View on Manifold →Compare Across Platforms →

Accrue© 2026

Internet of Events Leaderboard Traders Markets Hot Bets Surveillance

The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets

Terms Privacy Risk Disclosure Cookies Disclaimer Acceptable Use