What is the probability for "Will Eli Lilly's new weight loss drug Zepbound sell $2B in the US by 2025? (first full year on the market)" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Eli Lilly's new weight loss drug Zepbound sell >$2B in the US by 2025? (first full year on the market)" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 99% with 5 traders and $1K in volume.

Will Eli Lilly's new weight loss drug Zepbound sell >$2B in the US by 2025? (first full year on the market)

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