What is the probability for "Will EI flight 605 from Amsterdam to Dublin on 2023-09-24 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will EI flight 605 from Amsterdam to Dublin on 2023-09-24 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 11% with 10 traders and $929 in volume.

Will EI flight 605 from Amsterdam to Dublin on 2023-09-24 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?

Resolution