What is the probability for "Will EI flight 52 from Seattle to Dublin on 2023-09-05 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will EI flight 52 from Seattle to Dublin on 2023-09-05 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 77% with 14 traders and $432 in volume.

Will EI flight 52 from Seattle to Dublin on 2023-09-05 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?