What is the probability for "Will EI flight 486 from Dublin to Lisbon on 2023-09-06 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay = 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will EI flight 486 from Dublin to Lisbon on 2023-09-06 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 95% with 18 traders and $896 in volume.

Will EI flight 486 from Dublin to Lisbon on 2023-09-06 arrive on-time (YES) or with delay >= 30 mins (NO)?